Archive for November, 2010

Friday, November 5th, 2010

European online retail by the numbers

By Cross-Atlantic Insight | Publication date: 11/10/2010 | Category: News

The latest report into business-to-consumer ecommerce in Eastern Europe by Hamburg-based market research firm yStats, shows that almost all markets are experiencing strong growth.

Russia was a particularly strong segment, with a growth of 30 percent predicted for all online retail activities in 2010. In Poland, 25 percent of all consumers shopped online in 2009, while revenue generated from online retail accounted for €3.2 billion (£2.80 billion, $4.46 billion). In 2010, yStats predicts an 18 percent growth in Poland, “largely attributed to online auction platforms” and highlights the takeover of polish etailer Merlin.pl by its competitor Empik.com, which is set to establish a Polish equivalent to Amazon. The report also says that Slovakian etailers can expect strong ecommerce growth in 2010, with a predicted rise of 25 percent.

Online shopping was also gathering momentum in the Baltic states. Forty-eight percent of all internet users in Latvia shopped online in 2009, and in neighbouring Lithuania, that figure was 56 percent—up from just 7 percent in 2006. In Hungary, meanwhile, 30 percent of the population still deems online shopping “too risky”.

YStats also noted that in Albania and the former Yugoslav countries of Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro and Serbia, few people made online purchases, though shopping online is slowly gaining in popularity.

Wal-Mart resumes acquisition talks with Kopeyka

Friday, November 5th, 2010

The international retailer Wal-Mart has reportedly undertaken a second due diligence in regards to the potential acquisition of the Russian Kopeyka retailer and resumed talks with owner Nikolay Tsvetkov. Kopeyka will likely use this opportunity to increase the sales price. Most probably, for this very reason, the company abandoned the idea of an IPO this year.

In a conversation with Retail Update Russia, Retail Solutions General Director Art Vartanian said the postponement of Kopeyka’s IPO was most probably connected with the reported second due diligence. He added that Kopeyka can conduct an IPO at any time in the future, but an offer from such a large retailer as Wal-Mart is rare. Therefore, Kopeyka may test the situation in hopes to receive a better price, although valuations are already quite high, he said.

Wal-Mart announced its interest in Kopeyka in late 2009. However, the companies failed to agree on a price this June and abandoned their talks.

Previously, Russia’s largest retailer, X5 Retail Group, came close to acquiring Kopeyka. The company appealed to the Russian Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS) to approve the deal in late July, which was estimated at $1.6-1.8m at the time. X5 was permitted to acquire a part of Kopeyka’s assets in September (i.e. Kopeyka Development, Proviant and the Develop Group, which manages Kopeyka’s real estate) and nearly reached a deal. However, Kopeyka recently announced that the company is refraining from making any sales declarations, reportedly due to Wal-Mart’s aforementioned second diligence.

http://www.russiaretail.com

Abercrombie & Fitch close to entering Russia

Friday, November 5th, 2010

The American clothing retailer Abercrombie & Fitch may open its first store in the Russian retail market, in Evropeysky shopping centre in Moscow. Currently, the company is negotiating with the administration of the mall about the rental of premises. It is not certain, however, whether the company will operate the store on its own or by a franchisee.

In September 2010 Abercrombie & Fitch operated 1,104 retail outlets all over the world. In H1 2010 the company’s revenues amounted to $1.4bn.

The company was founded in 1892. It operates in the mid-price segment and currently offers such brands as Abercrombie & Fitch, Abercrombie Kids, Gilly Hicks and Hollister.

http://www.russiaretail.com/94456/Abercrombie___Fitch_close_to_entering_Russia.shtml

World Bank predicts 4.2% growth for Russia

Thursday, November 4th, 2010

The World Bank Country Head for Russia, Pedro Alba, today presented the Bank’s 23rd Russia Economic Report to an invited audience of members of the Association of European Business in the British Embassy in Moscow. The report, titled “Growth with moderation and uncertainty”, said in summary that with “heightened uncertainties and moderating global and Western European growth and oil prices, and volatile capital flows, Russia is likely to grow by 4.2 percent in 2010, followed by 4.5 percent in 2011 and 3.5 percent in 2012 as domestic demand expands in line with gradual improvements in the labor and credit markets.”
“Unemployment situation is likely to get worse before it gets better later in 2011. Fiscal risks have risen with likely expenditure pressures and downside risks to oil. While there is huge diversity across regions in the patterns of labor market recovery, smaller regions with a larger share of SMEs, better investment climate, more FDI, and stronger financial sector presence tend to show a more robust recovery”, the summary continued.
According to World Bank, fiscal outcome in 2010 is likely to be better than estimated as a result of favorable oil prices. But fiscal risks have risen with likely expenditure pressures and downside risks to oil, the lender noted.
Increase in fiscal risks suggests the need to rethink the fiscal strategy. The Bank assessed the pace of fiscal adjustment in the 2011-13 budgets as slower than initially envisaged, pushing the hard decisions on expenditure adjustments into the future. Further, expenditure pressures may rise in the election cycle leading to further weakening of fiscal adjustment.
Given the outlook for oil prices and rapid increase in import volumes, the lender sees deterioration in the current account in the last quarter of 2010 and further in 2011 and 2012. The capital account, by contrast, is expected to improve through 2011-2012, while capital flows are likely to remain volatile.

www.bsr-russia.com

Dixy Group revenue up 17.1%

Thursday, November 4th, 2010

Russian retailer Dixy Group reported revenue rose 17.1% on the year to RUB46.41 billion (USD1.5 billion) from January to end-September. The Moscow-based retailer had 595 stores as of 30 September under the Dixy, Megamart, Minimart, and V-Mart brands. In 2009, the company’s revenue was at RUB54.2 billion (USD1.75 billion), up 12% on the year.

www.retail.ru

O’Key IPO is oversubscribed

Thursday, November 4th, 2010

Russian grocery retailer O’Key has reportedly seen the order book for its London IPO oversubscribed. Demand for the shares is high, with most of the interest coming from foreign investors. The order book will close on 1 November. O’Key could raise up to USD491 million after pricing its offering at USD9.9 to USD12.9 a share, valuing the company at up to USD3.26 billion.

www.planetretail.net

OJSC Magnit announces unaudited September 2010 results

Thursday, November 4th, 2010